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Positive endorsement for property market

The Mike Pero Mortgages/Infometrics Property Cycle Indicator (PCI) moved into positive territory in May, for the first time since 2007.

Sunday, June 28th 2009, 1:09PM

by The Landlord

"After a lengthy cycle of 20 monthly negative PCI readings, the May result is very encouraging for investors and property owners," MPM chief Shaun Riley says.

The PCI is a sensitive measure of the housing market and includes three main factors: changes in the number of houses sold; changes in price, and; the time taken for a house to sell.

In May the PCI was +0.34.

House sales volume, the first measure of the indicator, is going from strength to strength, showing volume is up 44% from in March last year.

The second measure, the average time taken to sell a house, at 42 days was seven fewer than in May last year. Average house prices were at $337,500 in May, down 2.2% from May 2008.

"Taken together, the PCI reading is encouraging as it shows definite signs of the market stabilising after the weakness of 2008," Riley says.

Rents in May were down 0.1% from the same month last year, a slightly smaller fall than in April.

        NZ Property Cycle Indicator (PCI)

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 6.14 4.75 5.25 5.29
ANZ 6.04 ▲5.59 ▲6.09 ▲6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - ▲4.99 ▲5.49 ▲5.59
ASB Bank 6.04 ▲4.99 ▲5.45 ▲5.45
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.60 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.75 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.19 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 6.19 - - -
BNZ - Std 6.09 ▲4.99 ▲5.45 ▲5.45
BNZ - TotalMoney 6.19 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 4.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.30 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 7.20 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.74 5.29 5.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.34 4.84 5.39 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.34 5.34 5.89 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 5.09 5.49 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.69 6.09 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.80 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 6.50 5.50 5.65 -
ICBC 5.39 4.49 4.99 5.25
Kainga Ora 5.79 4.59 4.95 5.19
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 6.00 ▲5.85 ▲6.29 ▲6.29
Kiwibank - Offset 6.00 - - -
Kiwibank Special ▲6.00 ▲4.95 ▲5.39 ▲5.49
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society ▲6.79 ▲4.99 ▲5.49 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.39 5.89 5.89
SBS Bank Special - 4.69 5.29 5.29
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.49 6.05 6.29
TSB Special 5.79 4.69 5.25 5.49
Unity First Home Buyer special - 4.15 - -
Unity Special ▲6.04 4.80 5.29 -
Unity Standard ▲6.04 5.60 6.29 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.95 5.45 -
Westpac 6.14 5.59 6.05 5.95
Westpac Choices Everyday 6.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Offset 6.14 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.99 5.45 5.35
Median 6.15 4.99 5.47 5.49

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