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Capital gain expectation driving prices: Westpac

Tenants wanting to own their own homes are pushing house prices up and rents down, Westpac says.

Tuesday, July 9th 2013, 12:00AM

by The Landlord

REINZ data released yesterday showed that Auckland house prices are rising at almost 20% a year. But rent increases are still in the single digits according to Trade Me– and the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment says they actually fell in the year to May.

Westpac chief economist Dominick Stephens said that proved that it was not a supply shortage that was pushing prices up.

He said owners were holding on to their properties with the expectation of capital gain, which was driving low turnover.

But buyers and investors are keen to purchase to get a slice of those capital gains.

Stephens said there were three reasons why capital gain was widely expected in New Zealand: “People believe that Auckland’s population and incomes will grow rapidly while insufficient houses will be permitted, creating a future sharp increase in rents that restores balance. People  believe today’s low interest rates will last forever, thus allowing future generations to pay more for houses despite low rental yields. The expectation is irrational.”

He said only a change in buyer expectations, not large-scale building projects, would make a difference.

« Prices are up, but where are the listings?Auckland price momentum grows: QV »

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 6.14 4.75 5.25 5.29
ANZ 6.04 ▲5.59 ▲6.09 ▲6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - ▲4.99 ▲5.49 ▲5.59
ASB Bank 6.04 ▲4.99 ▲5.45 ▲5.45
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.60 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.75 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.19 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 6.19 - - -
BNZ - Std 6.09 ▲4.99 ▲5.45 ▲5.45
BNZ - TotalMoney 6.19 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 4.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.30 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 7.20 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.74 5.29 5.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.34 4.84 5.39 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.34 5.34 5.89 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 5.09 5.49 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.69 6.09 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.80 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 6.50 5.50 5.65 -
ICBC 5.39 4.49 4.99 5.25
Kainga Ora 5.79 4.59 4.95 5.19
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 6.00 5.65 6.09 6.19
Kiwibank - Offset 6.00 - - -
Kiwibank Special 5.75 4.75 5.19 5.39
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society ▲6.79 ▲4.99 ▲5.49 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.39 5.89 5.89
SBS Bank Special - 4.69 5.29 5.29
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.49 6.05 6.29
TSB Special 5.79 4.69 5.25 5.49
Unity First Home Buyer special - 4.15 - -
Unity Special ▲6.04 4.80 5.29 -
Unity Standard ▲6.04 5.60 6.29 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.95 5.45 -
Westpac 6.14 5.59 6.05 5.95
Westpac Choices Everyday 6.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Offset 6.14 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.99 5.45 5.35
Median 6.15 4.99 5.47 5.49

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